ople. However, neither the US nor China can expect to keep, much less get back, low-wage, low-skilled manufacturing jobs.
Many people have the impression that Chinese goods are dominant in US markets. That is true only in a few highly com
petitive, low-profit sectors. According to US Commerce Department data, China has more than 50 percent of the
US market in such items as umbrellas, toys, prepared feathers, footwear, straw products, and bedding.
Chinese exporters have from 20 to 50 percent of the US market in ot
her low-value-added markets, plus electrical machinery and equipment, mechanical app
liances, and iron and steel. In most other categories, China has less than 20 percent of the US market.
China also assembles and then exports a lot of phones, computers and other gad
gets to the US. But, most of the profits and wages go to Japanese or South Korean componen
Wang Yang, an analyst with Soochow Securities based in Suzhou, Jia
ngsu province, said that apart from the economic recovery underpinned by su
pportive policies, cyclical factors also imply that earnings growth will continue to recover in the rest of the year.
According to Wang, the current profit cycle of A-share companies started from 2
016 and should end with recovery this year, as the cycles usually last for 12 to 14 quarters.
This year’s gradual recovery in earnings growth could help the A-share market to withstan
d external uncertainties, said Yan Xiang, an analyst with Shenzhen-based Guosen Securities.
“It is quite different from 2018 when earnings growth of most companies deteriorated. Earn
ings growth, a determinant of the market trend, is likely to be on the recovery path,” Yan said in a note.